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Volume 21, Number 2—February 2015
Research

Quantifying Reporting Timeliness to Improve Outbreak Control

Axel Bonačić MarinovićComments to Author , Corien Swaan, Jim van Steenbergen, and Mirjam Kretzschmar
Author affiliations: National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands (A. Bonačić Marinović, C. Swaan, J. van Steenbergen, M. Kretzschmar); University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands (A. Bonačić Marinović, M. Kretzschmar); Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, the Netherlands (J. van Steenbergen)

Main Article

Figure 2

Schematic modification of PIR1. A) Generation interval distribution of an index case as function of time since the index case acquired the pathogen. Without notification and intervention, the proportion of infections expected by the index case is 1, the light gray area under the curve. B) How the generation interval distribution is modified, assuming that all index cases are notified and stopped exactly 13 days after exposure to the pathogen. C) How the average generation interval is modified wh

Figure 2. Schematic modification of PIR1. A) Generation interval distribution of an index case as function of time since the index case acquired the pathogen. Without notification and intervention, the proportion of infections expected by the index case is 1, the light gray area under the curve. B) How the generation interval distribution is modified, assuming that all index cases are notified and stopped exactly 13 days after exposure to the pathogen. C) How the average generation interval is modified when index cases are notified and stopped according to a time distribution. Dark gray shading indicates the PIR1 value for each situation. The black line indicates the proportion of index cases not yet notified (right y-axis), equivalent to the probability of an index case not yet being notified in each situation. PIR1, expected proportion of cases caused by index case at notification.

Main Article

Page created: January 20, 2015
Page updated: January 20, 2015
Page reviewed: January 20, 2015
The conclusions, findings, and opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions. Use of trade names is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by any of the groups named above.
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