Volume 28, Number 8—August 2022
Dispatch
Culling of Urban Norway Rats and Carriage of Bartonella spp. Bacteria, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Table
Variable | Bartonella prevalence, no. positive/no. tested (%) | Bivariable models |
Final model† |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unadjusted OR (95% CI) | p value in model | LRT p value‡ | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | p value in model | |||
Intervention | |||||||
Rats caught before the intervention in all blocks | 58/267 (22) | Referent | Referent | Referent | Referent | Referent | |
Rats caught after the intervention in control blocks | 24/109 (22) | 1.26 (0.67–2.39) | 0.47 | <0.01 | 2.68 (1.22–6.67) | 0.02 | |
Rats caught after the intervention in flanking blocks | 6/37 (16) | 0.56 (0.18–1.46) | 0.26 | NA | 7.26 (1.56–38.17) | 0.01 | |
Rats caught after the intervention in intervention blocks |
2/41 (5) |
0.12 (0.02–0.46) |
<0.01 |
NA |
2.03 (0.22–15.41) |
0.50 |
|
Sex | |||||||
F | 38/221 (17) | Referent | Referent | Referent | NA | NA | |
M |
52/233 (22) |
1.32 (0.82–2.14) |
0.26 |
0.26 |
NA |
NA |
|
Sexual maturity | |||||||
Juvenile | 34/177 (19) | Referent | Referent | Referent | NA | NA | |
Mature |
56/277 (20) |
0.98 (0.60–1.63) |
0.95 |
0.95 |
NA |
NA |
|
Wound presence | |||||||
Absent | 59/339 (17) | Referent | Referent | Referent | Referent | Referent | |
Present |
31/115 (27) |
1.67 (0.97–2.81) |
0.06 |
0.06 |
1.49 (0.83–2.63) |
0.17 |
|
Weight§ |
NA |
1.04 (0.81–1.32) |
0.75 |
0.75 |
NA |
NA |
|
Presence of fleas on rats | |||||||
Absent | 46/261 (18) | Referent | Referent | Referent | NA | NA | |
Present | 44/193 (23) | 1.39 (0.86–2.25) | 0.18 | 0.18 | NA | NA | |
No. fleas on rat | NA | 1.02 (0.95–1.09) | 0.50 | 0.52 | NA | NA | |
Flea index# | NA | 1.13 (0.90–1.43) | 0.31 | 0.32 | NA | NA | |
Presence of positive fleas per rat | |||||||
Absent | 67/376 (18) | Referent | Referent | Referent | Referent | Referent | |
Present |
23/78 (30) |
1.83 (1.00–3.25) |
0.04 |
0.05 |
1.94 (1.00–3.69) |
0.05 |
|
Season | |||||||
Summer, June–August | 16/124 (13) | Referent | Referent | Referent | Referent | Referent | |
Fall, September–November | 65/208 (31) | 3.16 (1.59–6.73) | <0.01 | <0.01 | 2.90 (1.32–6.31) | <0.01 | |
Winter, December–March | 9/122 (7) | 0.50 (0.18–1.30) | 0.15 | NA | 0.16 (0.03–0.68) | 0.02 |
*OR refers to the odds of Bartonella spp. carriage among rats in each group relative to the reference group for that variable. Variables were included in the final model if they confounded the relationship between the intervention; and the outcome (changed the effect of any level of the intervention by >10% and/or were associated with the outcome and intervention, p<0.25) or if they were independent predictors that improved the model as indicated by a significant (p<0.05 likelihood ratio test with all confounders and intervention present). LRT, likelihood ratio test; NA, not applicable; OR, odds ratio. †Final multivariable model: Bartonella status ~ intervention + wound presence + presence of positive fleas per rat + season + (city.block). ‡Likelihood ratio test comparing the generalized linear mixed model with and without the indicated variable; p<0.05 indicates that the variable significantly improved the model with all confounders and as such was a significant predictor and was retained in the final model. §Scaled and centered around its mean. #Average number of fleas per rat per city block.
1These first authors contributed equally to this article.