Ecologic, Geoclimatic, and Genomic Factors Modulating Plague Epidemics in Primary Natural Focus, Brazil
Matheus F. Bezerra
, Diego L.R.S. Fernandes, Igor V. Rocha, João L.L.P. Pitta, Natan D.A. Freitas, André L.S. Oliveira, Ricardo J.P.S. Guimarães, Elainne C.S. Gomes, Cecília Siliansky de Andreazzi, Marise Sobreira, Antonio M. Rezende, Pedro Cordeiro-Estrela, and Alzira M.P. Almeida
Author affiliations: Instituto Aggeu Magalhães, Fiocruz, Brazil (M.F. Bezerra, D.L.R.S Fernandes, I.V. Rocha, J.L.L.P. Pitta, E.C.S. Gomes, M. Sobreira, A.M. Rezende, A.M.P. Almeida); Laboratório de Mamíferos, Pós Graduação em Ciências Biológicas (Zoologia), Universidade Federal da Paraíba, João Pessoa, Brazil (N.D.A. Freitas, P. Cordeiro-Estrela); Núcleo de Geoprocessamento, Instituto Aggeu Magalhães, Fiocruz (A.L.S. Oliveira); Laboratório de Geoprocessamento, Instituto Evandro Chagas, Belém, Brazil (R.J.P.S. Guimarães); Laboratório de Biologia e Parasitologia de Mamíferos Silvestres Reservatórios, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Fiocruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (C.S. de Andreazzi); Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain (C.S. de Andreazzi); International Platform for Science, Technology and Innovation in Health, PICTIS, Ílhavo, Portugal (C.S. de Andreazzi); Group of Biotechnology Applied to Pathogens, René Rachou Institute, Fiocruz (A.M. Rezende)
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Figure 3
Figure 3. Effects of climatic variables on human cases in a study of ecologic, geoclimatic, and genomic factors modulating plague epidemics in primary natural focus, Brazil. A) Yearly average pluviosity (rainfall amount); B) monthly average pluviosity. Dots indicate averages; whiskers indicate upper and lower limits. Average pluviosity (mm3) was measured in municipalities in the state of Pernambuco in the Araripe Plateau region during 1962–1980. The curves in panel B represent the third order polynomial interpolation of cases and pluviosity averages; shaded areas indicate 95% CIs.
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