Modeling Treatment Strategies to Inform Yaws Eradication
Alex Holmes
, Michael J. Tildesley, Anthony W. Solomon, David C.W. Mabey, Oliver Sokana, Michael Marks, and Louise Dyson
Author affiliations: Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK (A. Holmes, M.J. Tildesley, L. Dyson); University of Warwick School of Life Sciences, Coventry (M.J. Tildesley, L. Dyson); Hospital for Tropical Diseases, London, UK (A.W. Solomon, D.C.W. Mabey, M. Marks); London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London (A.W. Solomon, D.C.W. Mabey, M. Marks); Ministry of Health and Medical Services, Honiara, Solomon Islands (O. Sokana)
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Figure 5
Figure 5. Probability of local elimination of transmission under different intervention strategies with varying numbers of rounds of TCT followed by rounds of TTT treating clinical case-patients and household contacts. Each rectangle in the figure represents a different strategy (consisting of some number of rounds of TCT followed by rounds of TTT). The color of the rectangle shows the probability of elimination of transmission, based on the color bar to the right. Each twice-yearly round of TCT has 80% coverage, whereas TTT has 100% coverage and treatment is assumed to have 95% efficacy. Parameters are inferred from data collected from the Solomon Islands in 2013. TCT, total community treatment; TTT, total targeted treatment.
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